Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.153340 0.181244 0.212400 0.249714 0.293133 0.342004 0.401128
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.108243 0.143693 0.187674 0.246016 0.321120 0.414268 0.538251
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.084151 0.122475 0.174130 0.248324 0.351552 0.489384 0.686523
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.066616 0.104825 0.160049 0.244826 0.370618 0.549061 0.819686
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.056553 0.095207 0.154538 0.250946 0.402017 0.627522 0.986693
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.047256 0.084656 0.145313 0.249104 0.419966 0.686950 1.131202
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.039270 0.074570 0.134840 0.243037 0.429433 0.733162 1.259128
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.032785 0.065783 0.124913 0.235940 0.435481 0.773497 1.380761
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.029311 0.061816 0.122659 0.241597 0.463572 0.852762 1.575057
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.026134 0.057814 0.119634 0.245196 0.488047 0.927878 1.769428
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.023161 0.053666 0.115632 0.246212 0.507542 0.995691 1.957121
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.020833 0.050450 0.112952 0.249320 0.531144 1.073039 2.169571
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.019089 0.048291 0.112281 0.256752 0.564858 1.174251 2.440197
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.016445 0.043581 0.105461 0.250293 0.569533 1.219859 2.608347
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.014767 0.040864 0.102616 0.252042 0.591568 1.302185 2.857848
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.012968 0.037487 0.097705 0.248364 0.601223 1.359884 3.062442
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.011973 0.036014 0.097081 0.254537 0.633506 1.468185 3.383338
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.010671 0.033445 0.093346 0.252664 0.646985 1.537151 3.626327
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.009335 0.030509 0.088200 0.246514 0.649515 1.582012 3.820521
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.008133 0.027711 0.082956 0.239322 0.648536 1.618645 3.999528
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.007578 0.026778 0.082638 0.245055 0.680416 1.734340 4.370677
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.006999 0.025654 0.081606 0.248702 0.707385 1.840994 4.730476
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.006392 0.024311 0.079729 0.249732 0.727624 1.933339 5.064639